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Ross Stein

Research Geophysicist

Contact Info


Short Biography

Ross Stein studies how earthquakes interact by the transfer of stress. He the 2012 Gilbert F. White Natural Hazards Distinguished Lecture Award recipient of the American Geophysical Union (AGU). He has delivered AGU’s Francis Birch Lecture and its Frontiers of Geophysics Lecture, gave a 2012 TEDx talk, ‘Defeating Earthquakes,’ and was keynote speaker at the Smithsonian for the Presidential Awards for Excellence in Mathematics and Science Teaching, and is Winter 2014 Stanford School of Earth Sciences Distinguished Lecturer. He received an Sc.B. from Brown University magna cum laude and with honors, and a Ph.D. from Stanford University. He is a Fellow of the AGU and the Geological Society of America, was Editor of the Journal of Geophysical Research, and later chaired AGU’s Board of Journal Editors. In 2003, the Science Citation Index reported that Stein was the second most-cited author in earthquake science during the preceding decade (1); he was the 10th most cited during 1900-2010 (2). Stein received the Eugene M. Shoemaker Distinguished Achievement Award of the USGS, the Excellence in Outreach Award of the Southern California Earthquake Center, and the Outstanding Contributions and Cooperation in Geoscience Award from NOAA. In 2009 he cofounded the Global Earthquake Model Foundation, a public-private partnership building a seismic risk model for the world, and now chairs GEM’s Science Board. Ross has appeared in many documentary films, including the Emmy-nominated documentary, ‘Killer Quake’ (NOVA, 1995), the four-part ‘Great Quakes’ series (Discovery, 1997-2001), and the multiple award-winning 2004 National Geographic IMAX movie ‘Forces of Nature,’ which he helped to write and animate.

(1) http://www.esi-topics.com/earthquakes/index.html

(2) Liu et al, A bibliometric study of earthquake research: 1900-2010, Scientometrics (2012) 92: 747-765, doi:10.1007/s11192-011-0599-z

 

A selection of Sten's recent teaching tools, talks, and interviews can be seen here:

 



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Publications

Pollitz, F.F., R. Bürgmann, R.S. Stein, and V. Sevilgen, The profound reach of the M8.6 11 April 2012 Indian Ocean earthquake: short-term global triggering followed by a longer-term global shadow. Submitted to Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., 2013. [Download File]

Toda, S., and R.S. Stein, The 2011 M=9.0 Tohoku oki earthquake more than doubled the probability of large shocks beneath Tokyo, Geophys. Res. Letts., 40, 1–5, doi:10.1002/grl.50524, 2013 (with plain English and plain Japanese summaries). [Download File]

Stein, R.S., and S. Toda, Megacity megaquakes—Two near misses, Science, 341, 850-852, doi: 10.1126/science.1238944 [Download File]

Pollitz, F.F., R.S. Stein, V. Sevilgen, R. Bürgmann, 2012, The 11 April 2012 M=8.6 East Indian Ocean earthquake triggered large aftershocks worldwide, Nature, doi: 10.1038/nature11504 (with press release and animation). [Link]

Toda, S., R.S. Stein, G.C. Beroza, and D. Marsan, 2012, Aftershocks halted by static stress shadows, Nature Geoscience, 5, doi:10.1038/ngeo1465, 410-413. Includes Supporting Online Materials and a News & Views article about the paper, 'Casting stress shadows,' by Andy Freed. [Download File]

Sevilgen, V., R.S. Stein, and F.F. Pollitz, 2012, Stress imparted by the great 2004 Sumatra earthquake shut down transforms and activated rifts up to 400 km away in the Andaman Sea, Proc Natl Acad Sci USA, doi:10.1073/pnas.1208799109 (with press release and animation). [Download File]

Toda, S. Stein, R., Sevilgen, V., Lin, J., 2011. Coulomb 3.3 Graphic-rich deformation and stress-change software for earthquake, tectonic, and volcano research and teaching-user guide. U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2011-1060, ix, 54 p.; 9 Chapters [Link]

Linton, K., and Stein, R.S., 2011, How to build and teach with QuakeCaster, an earthquake demonstration and exploration tool: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2011-1158, 35 p. and videos. [Link]

Lin, J., Stein, R.S., Meghraoui, M., Toda, S., Ayadi, A., Dorbath, C., and Belabbes, S., (2011), Stress transfer among en echelon and opposing thrusts and tear faults: Triggering caused by the 2003 Mw= 6.9 Zemmouri, Algeria, earthquake, J. Geophys. Res., 116, B03305, doi:10.1029/2010JB007654. [Download File]

Stein, R.S. (2011), Comment on “A model of earthquake triggering probabilities and application to dynamic deformations constrained by ground motion observations” by Joan Gomberg and Karen Felzer, J. Geophys. Res., 116, doi:10.1029/2010JB007990 (PDF includes Reply by Joan Gomberg and Karen Felzer). [Download File]

Toda, S., Stein, R.S., and Lin, J., Widespread seismicity excitation throughout central Japan following the 2011 M=9.0 Tohoku earthquake, and its interpretation by Coulomb stress transfer, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L00G03, doi:10.1029/2011GL047834, 2011 (includes Plain English Summary and Summary Graphic). [Download File]

Linton, K. and R.S. Stein, QuakeCaster, an earthquake physics demonstration and exploration tool, Seismol. Res. Letts. 83,150-156, doi: 10.1785/gssrl.83.1.150, 2012 (with links to videos) [Download File]

Toda, S., Lin, J., and Stein, R.S., Using the 2011 M=9.0 Tohoku earthquake to test the Coulomb stress triggering hypothesis and to calculate faults brought closer to failure, Earth Planets Space, 63, 1–6, doi:10.5047/eps.2011.05.010, 2011(includes Plain English Summary and Summary Graphic) [Download File]

Richards-Dinger, K., Stein, R.S., and Toda, S., Decay of aftershock density with distance does not indicate triggering by dynamic stress, Nature, 467, 583-586, doi:10.1038/nature0940, 2010. [Download File]

Rollins, J.C. and Stein, R.S., Coulomb stress interactions among M ≥ 5.9 earthquakes in the Gorda deformation zone and on the Mendocino Fault Zone, Cascadia subduction zone, and northern San Andreas Fault, J. Geophys. Res. 115, doi:10.1029/2009JB007117, 2010 [Download File]

Lin, J., Stein, R.S., Sevilgen, V. and Toda, S., USGS–WHOI–DPRI Coulomb Stress-Transfer Model for the January 12, 2010, MW=7.0 Haiti Earthquake, U.S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rep. 2010-1019, 2010. [Download File]

Chan, C-H. and Stein, R.S., Stress evolution following the 1999 Chi-Chi, Taiwan, earthquake: Consequences for afterslip, relaxation, aftershocks, and departures from Omori decay, Geophys. J. Int., doi: 10.1111/j.1365-246X.2008.04069.x, (2009). [Download File]

Chan, Chung-Han, and Ross S. Stein, Stress evolution following the 1999 Chi-Chi, Taiwan, earthquake: Consequences for afterslip, relaxation, aftershocks, and departures from Omori decay, Geophys. J. Int., doi: 10.1111/j.1365-246X.2008.04069.x (2009). [Download File]

Doser, D. I., Olsen, K.B., Pollitz, F.F., Stein, R.S., and Toda, S., The 1911 M~6.6 Calaveras earthquake: Source arameters and the role of static, viscoelastic and dynamic Coulomb stress changes imparted by the 1906 San Francisco earthquake, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., 99, 1746-1759; doi: 10.1785/012008030, 2009 [Download File]

Field, E.H., Dawson, T.E., Felzer, K.R., Frankel, A.D., Gupta, V., Jordan, .H., Parsons, T., Petersen, M.D., Stein, R.S., Weldon II, R.J., and Wills, C.J., Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 2 (UCERF 2), Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., Vol. 99, No. 4, August 2009, doi: 10.1785/0120080049 [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Ellsworth, W., Kirby, S., Thatcher, W., and Boore, D., Earthquake Science Center Strategic Plan for 2010-2015, internal USGS report, 28 ., 2009 [Download File]

Toda, S, Lin, J., Meghraoui, M., and Stein, R.S.,12 May 2008 M=7.9 Wenchuan, China, earthquake calculated to increase failure stress and seismicity rate on three major fault systems, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L17305, doi:10.1029/2008GL034903, 2008. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Earthquake Rate Model 2.2 of the 2007 Working Group for California Earthquake Probabilities, Appendix D: Magnitude-Area relationship, U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2007-1162, 2007. [Download File]

Nishimura, T., Sagiya, T., and Stein, R.S., Crustal block kinematics and seismic otential of the northernmost Philippine Sea late and Izu microplate, central Japan, Inferred from GPS and Leveling data, J. Geophys. Res. , 112, doi:10.1029/2005JB004102, 2007 [Download File]

Bozkurt, S. B., Stein, R.S., and Toda, S., Forecasting probabilistic seismic shaking for greater Tokyo from 400 years of intensity observations, Earthquake Spectra, Volume 23, No. 3, ages 525-546, Doi: 10.1193/1.2753504, 2007. [Download File]

Lin, J. and Stein, R.S., Seismic constraints and Coulomb stress changes of a blind thrust fault system, 1: Coalinga and Kettleman Hills, California, U.S. Geological Survey, Open-File Report, 2006-1149, 17 p., 2006 [Link]

Grunewald, E.D. and Stein, R.S., A new 1649–1884 catalog of destructive earthquakes near Tokyo and implications for the long-term seismic rocess , J. Geophys. Res., 111, doi:10.1029/2005JB004059., 2006. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Toda, S., Parsons, T., and Grunewald, E.D., A new probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for greater Tokyo, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A, 364, 1965-1988, doi:10.1098/rsta.2006.1808, 2006. [Download File]

Toda, S., Stein, R.S., Richards-Dinger, K., and Bozkurt, S., Forecasting the evolution of seismicity in southern California: Animations built on earthquake stress transfer, J. Geophys. Res., Vol. 110, B05S16, doi:10.1029/2004JB003415, 2005. [Download File]

Ma, K.F., Chan, C.H., and Stein, R.S., Response of seismicity to Coulomb stress triggers and shadows of the 1999 Mw = 7.6 Chi-Chi, Taiwan, earthquake. J. Geophys. Res., 110, B05S19, doi:10.1029/2004JB003389, 2005. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Earthquake Conversations, Scientific American, vol. 288, . 72-79, January issue, 2003. Also published in: Our Ever Changing Earth, Scientific American, Special Edition, v. 15 (2), . 82-89, 2005. [Download File]

Lin, J. and Stein, R.S., Stress triggering in thrust and subduction earthquakes, and stress interaction between the southern San Andreas and nearby thrust and strike-slip faults,Journal of Geophysical Research, 109, B02303, doi:10.1029/2003JB002607, 2004 [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Tidal triggering caught in the act (Perspective), Science, Vol 305, Issue 5688, 1248-1249, DOI: 10.1126/science.1100726, 2004. [Download File]

Toda, S., and Stein, R.S., Toggling of seismicity by the 1997 Kagoshima earthquake couplet: A demonstration of time-dependent stress transfer, J. Geophys. Res., 108, B12, 2567, doi: 10.1029/2003JB002527, 2003 [Download File]

Toda, S., Stein, R.S., and Sagiya, T., Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu Islands swarm that stressing rate governs seismicity, Nature, 419, 58-61, 2002. [Download File]

Toda, S., and Stein, R.S., Response of the San Andreas Fault to the 1983 Coalinga-Nuñez Earthquakes: An Application of Interaction-based Probabilities for Parkfield, J. Geophys. Res. 107, doi:10.1029/2001JB000172, 2002. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Parkfield's unfulfilled promise (News & Views), Nature, 419, . 257-258, 19 September issue, doi:10.1038/419257, 2002. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Aykut A. Barka, 1952-2002 (A tribute), EOS Trans. Amer. Geophys. Un., 83 (44), 499-500, 2002. [Download File]

Bawden, G.W., Thatcher, W., Stein, R.S., Hudnut, K.W., and Peltzer, G., Tectonic contraction across Los Angeles after removal of groundwater pumping effects, Nature, 412, 812-815, 2001. [Download File]

Parsons, T., Toda, S., Stein, R.S., Barka, A., and Dieterich, J.H., Heightened odds of large earthquakes near Istanbul: An interaction-based robability calculation, Science, 288, . 661-665, 2000. [Download File]

U.S. Geological Survey (including R.S. Stein), Implications for Earthquake Risk Reduction in the United States from the Kocaeli, Turkey, Earthquake of August 17, 1999, U.S. Geol. Surv. Circular 1193 (64 .), 2000. [Download File]

Toda, S., and Stein, R.S., Did stress triggering cause the large off-fault aftershocks of the 25 March 1998 Mw=8.1 Antarctic late earthquake?, Geophys. Res. Letts., 27, . 2,301-2,304, 2000. [Download File]

Parsons, T., Barka, A., Toda, S., Stein, R.S., and Dieterich, J.H., Influence of the 17 August 1999 Izmit earthquake on seismic hazards in Istanbul, in A. Barka, O. Kozaci, S. Akyuz and E. Altunel (Eds.), The 1999 Izmit and Duzce Earthquakes: Preliminary results, . 295-310, 2000. [Download File]

U.S. Geological Survey (including Tom Parsons and R.S. Stein), The Kocaeli, Turkey, earthquake of August 17, 1999, U.S. Geol. Surv. Circular, 1193, . 1-65, 2000. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., The role of stress transfer in earthquake occurrence, Nature, 402, . 605-609, 1999. [Download File]

Celebi, M., Prescott, W., Stein, R.S., Hudnut, K., Behr, J., and Wilson, S., GPS monitoring of dynamic behavior of long-eriod structures, Earthquake Spectra, 15, . 55-66, 1999. [Download File]

Celebi, M., Prescott, W., Stein, R.S., Hudnut, K., Behr, J., and Wilson, S., GPS monitoring of dynamic behavior of long-eriod structures, Earthquake Spectra, 15, . 55-66, 1999. [Download File]

Perfettini, H., Stein, R.S., Simpson, R.W., and Cocco, M., Stress Transfer by the 1988-89 M=5.3, 5.4 Lake Elsman Foreshocks to the Loma Prieta Fault: Unclamping at the Site of Peak Mainshock Slip, J. Geophys. Res., 104, . 20,169-20,182, 1999. [Download File]

Parsons, T., Stein, R.S., Simpson, R.W., and Reasenberg, P.A., Stress sensitivity of fault seismicity: A comparison between limited-offset oblique and major strike-slip faults, J. Geophys. Res., 104, . 20,183-20,202, 1999. [Download File]

Nostro, C., Stein, R.S., Cocco, M., Belardinelli, M.E., and Marzocchi, W., Two-way coupling between Vesuvius eruptions and southern Apennine earthquakes (Italy) by elastic stress transfer, J. Geophys. Res., 103, . 24,487-24,504, 1998. [Download File]

Toda, S., Stein, R.S., Reasenberg, P.A., and Dieterich, J.H., Stress transferred by the Mw=6.9 Kobe, Japan, shock: Effect on aftershocks and future earthquake robabilities, J. Geophys. Res., 103, . 24,543-24,565, 1998. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Stress triggering conference opens window to Master Model, Southern California Earthquake Center Newsletter, 4, . 3-4, 1998. [Download File]

Stein, R.S. and Hanks, T.C., M > 6 Earthquakes in Southern California during the Twentieth Century: No Evidence for a Seismicity or Moment Deficit, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., 88, . 635-652, 1998. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Barka, A.A., and Dieterich, J.H., Progressive failure on the North Anatolian fault since 1939 by earthquake stress triggering, Geophys. J. Int., 128, . 594-604, 1997. [Download File]

Dixon, T.H., Mao, A., Bursik, M., Heflin, M., Langbein, J., Stein, R.S., and Webb, F., Continuous monitoring of surface deformation at Long Valley Caldera, California, with GPS, J. Geohys. Res., 1997, . 1997. [Download File]

Dixon, T.H., Mao, A., Bursik, M., Heflin, M., Langbein, J., Stein, R.S., and Webb, F., Continuous monitoring of surface deformation at Long Valley Caldera, California, with GPS, J. Geohys. Res., 1997, . 1997. [Download File]

Marshall, G., Langbein, J., Stein, R.S., Lisowski, M., and Svarc, J., Inflation of Long Valley Caldera, California, basin and range strain, and ossible Mono craters dike inflation from 1990-94 GPS surveys, Geophys. Res. Let., 24, . 1003-1006, 1997. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Barka, A.A., and Dieterich, J.H., Progressive failure on the North Anatolian fault since 1939 by earthquake stress triggering, Geophys. J. Int., 128, . 594-604, 1997. [Download File]

Schwartz, D.P., Joyner, W.B., Stein, R.S., Brown, R.D., Mcgarr, A.F., Hickman, S.H., and Bakun, W.H., Review of seismic-hazard issues associated with the Auburn Dam roject, Sierra Nevada foothills, California, U.S. Geol. Surv Open-File Rep., 96-0011, . 1-18, 1996. [Download File]

Hodgkinson, K.M., Stein, R.S., Hudnut, K.W., Satalich, J., Lilje, A., and Richards, J., Repair and restoration of geodetic infrastructure affected by the 1994 Northridge, California earhtquake (including 70-page report, 40" x 60" color map, CD-ROM. slide-set and website), USGS Open File Report, 96-517, . 1996. [Download File]

Hodgkinson, K.M., Stein, R.S., and Marshall, G., Geometry of the 1954 Fairview Peak-DixieValley earthquake sequence from joint inversion of leveling and triangulation data, J. Geophys. Res., 101, . 25,437-25,457, 1996. [Download File]

Bautista, B.C., Bautista, L.P., Barcelona, E.S., Punongbayan, R.S., Laguerta, E.P., Rasdas, A.R., Ambubuyong, G., Amin, E.Q., and Stein, R.S., Relationship of regional and local structures to Mount Pinatubo activity, in R. S. Punongbayan and C. G. Newhall (Eds.), The 1991-1992 eruption of mount Pinatubo, Philippines, . 351-370, 1996. [Download File]

Murray, M.H., Marshall, G.A., Lisowski, M., and Stein, R.S., The 1992 M=7 Cape Mendocino, California, earthquake: Coseismic deformation at the south end of the Cascadia subduction zone, J. Geophys. Res., 101, . 17,707-17,726, 1996. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Dieterich, J.H., and Barka, A.A., Role of stress triggering in earthquake migration on the North Anatolian fault, Phys. & Chem. of the Earth, 21, . 225-230, 1996. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Earthquakes: Being struck by a balance, (News and Views) Nature, 379, . 769-770, 1996. [Download File]

Hodgkinson, K.M., Stein, R.S., and King, G.C.P., The 1954 Rainbow Mountain-Fairview Peak-Dixie Valley earthquakes: A triggered normal faulting sequence, J. Geophys. Res., 101, . 25,459-25,471, 1996. [Download File]

Marshall, G.A. and Stein, R.S., Elevation changes associated with the earthquake and their use to infer fault-slip geometry, in P. A. Spudich (Eds.), The Loma Prieta, California, earthquake of October 17, 1989: Earthquake Occurrence, U.S. Geol. Surv. Prof. Pap. 1550-A, . 105-146, 1996 [Download File]

Dixon, T.H., Farina, F., Mao, A., Webb, F., Bursik, M., Marshall, G., and Stein, R.S., GPS monitoring data for active volcanoes available on Internet, EOS, Transactions AGU, 76 (1), . 2, 1995.

Stein, R.S., Northridge Earthquake: Which fault and what next?, Nature, 373, . 388-389, 1995. [Link]

Langbein, J., Dzurisin, D., Marshall, G., Stein, R.S., and Rundle, J., Shallow and eripheral volcanic sources of inflation revealed by two-color geodeimeter and leveling data from Long valley caldera, California, 1988-92, J. Geophys. Res., 100, . 12,487-12,495, 1995. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Earthquakes: Characteristic or haphazard? (News and Views), Nature, 378, . 443-444, 1995 [Download File]

Stein, R.S. and Ellsworth, W.L. Earthquakes: From California to Kobe (News and Views), Nature, 373, . 388, 1995. [Download File]

Webb, F.H., Bursik, M., Dixon, T., Farina, F., Marshall, G., and Stein, R.S., Inflation of Long Valley caldera from one year of continuous GPS observations, Geophys. Res. Lets., 22, . 195-198, 1995. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., King, G.C.P., and Lin, J., Stress triggering of earthquakes: evidence for the 1994 M=6.7 Northridge, California, shock, Annali di Geofisica, 37, . 1799-1805, 1995. [Download File]

Marshall, G. and Stein, R.S., A 3-slide set: maps of the Northridge, California, earthquake setting, effects and deformations, USGS Open File Report, 94-442, . 1994. [Link]

Marshall, G. and Stein, R.S. Geodetic leveling observations associated with the October 18, Loma Prieta earthquake and their use to infer fault slip geometry, USGS Open File Report, 94, . 1994. [Link]

Stein, R.S., King, G.C.P., and Lin, J. Stress triggering of the 1994 M=6.7 Northridge, California, earthquake by its redecessors, Science, 265, . 1432-1435, 1994. [Download File]

King, G.C.P., Stein, R.S., and Lin, J., Static stress changes and the triggering of earthquakes, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., 84, . 935-953, 1994. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Marshall, G.A., and Murray, M.H., Permanent ground movement associated with the 1992 M=7 Cape Mendocino, California, earthquake: Implications for damage to infrastructure and hazards to navigation, U.S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rep., 93-383, . 36 ., 1993. email us for bound copies of this report & the included large-scale color map [Link]

Oppenheimer, D., Beroza, G., Carver, G., Dengler, L., Eaton, J., Gee, L., Gonzalez, F., Jayko, A., Li, W.H., Lisowski, M., Magee, M., Marshall, G., Murray, M., McPherson, R., Romanowicz, B., Satake, K., Simpson, R., Somerville, P., Stein, R.S., and Valentine, D., The Cape Mendocino, California, earthquakes of April 1992: Subduction at the triple junction, Science, 261, . 433-438, 1993. [Download File]

Ekström, G., Stein, R.S., Eaton, J.P., and Eberhart-Phillips, D., Seismicity and geometry of a 110-km long blind thrust fault, 1, The 1985 Kettleman Hills, California, earthquake, J. Geophys. Res., 97, . 4843-4864, 1992. [Download File]

Yeats, R.S., Farah, A., Mirza, M.A., Nakata, T., Pandey, M.R., Stein, R.S., and Valdiya, K.S., The Himalayan frontal fault system, Annales Tectonicae, Suppl. to Vol. VI, . 85-98, 1992. [Download File]

R. S. Stein and Ekström, G.E., Seismicity and geometry of a 110-km long blind thrust fault, 2, Synthesis of the 1982-85 California earthquake sequence, J. Geophys. Res., 97, . 4865-4883, 1992. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., King, G.C.P., and Lin, J., Change in failure stress on the southern San Andreas fault system caused by the 1992 Magnitude=7.4 Landers earthquake, Science, 258, . 1328-1332, 1992. [Download File]

Marshall, G.A., Stein, R.S., and Thatcher, W., Faulting Geometry and slip from coseismic elevation changes: The 18 October 1989, Loma Prieta, California, earthquake, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 81, . 1660-1693, 1991. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Briole, P., Ruegg, J.C., Tapponnier, P., and Gasse, F., Contemporary, Holocene and late Quaternary deformation of the Asal Rift, Djibouti: Implications for the mechanics of slow-spreading ridges, J. Geohys. Res., 96, . 21789-21806, 1991. [Download File]

Rundle, J., Dixon, T.H., Goad, C., Metzer, E.H., Minster, J.B., Sailor, R., and Stein, R.S., Overview and recommendation, in N. A. Press (Eds.), Geodesy in the Year 2000, 176 ., 1990.

Atwater, B.F., Tinsley, J., Stein, R.S., Trumm, D.A., Tucker, A.B., Donahue, D.J., Jull, J.T., and Payen, L.A., Alluvial plains and earthquake recurrence at the Coalinga anticline, USGS Open File Report, 90-1487, . 273-297, 1990. [Link]

Stein, R.S. and Yeats, R.S., Hidden Earthquakes, Sci. Am., 260, . 48-57, June, 1989. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., 250 manuscript before the mast: Reflections of an outbound editor, EOS, American Geophysical Union Transaction, 70, . 729-731, 1989. [Download File]

Hauksson, E. and Stein, R.S., The 1987 Whittier Narrows earthquake: a metropolitan shock, J. Geohys. Res., 94, . 9545-9547, 1989. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Whalen, C.T., Holdahl, S.R., Strange, W.E., and Thatcher, W., Reply to ``Comment on `Saugus--Palmdale, California, field test for refraction error in historical leveling surveys' by R.S. Stein, C.T. Whalen, S.R. Holdahl, W. Strange, and W. Thatcher'' and ``Comment on ``Further analysis on the 1981 southern California field test for leveling refraction,'' by M.R. Craymer and P. Vanicek, J. Geohys. Res., 94, . 7673-7677, 1989. [Download File]

Lin, J. and Stein, R.S., Coseismic folding, earthquake recurrence, and the 1987 source mechanism at Whittier Narrows, Los Angeles Basin, California, Journal of Geophysical Research, 94, . 9614-9632, 1989. [Download File]

Stein, R.S. and Yeats, R.S., Hidden Earthquakes, Sci. Am., 260, . 48-57, June, 1989. Read a review of this aper in Time Magazine [Download File]

King, G.C.P., Stein, R.S., and Rundle, J., The growth of geological structures by repeated earthquakes, 1: Conceptual framework, J. Geohys. Res., 93, . 13307-13318, 1988. [Download File]

King, G.C.P., Stein, R.S., and Rundle, J., The growth of geological structures by repeated earthquakes, 2: Field examples of continental dip-slip faults, J. Geohys. Res., 93, . 13319-13331, 1988. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Plate tectonics: prediction fulfilled, Physics Today, 41, . S41-S44, 1988. [Download File]

Goldstein, N. and Stein, R.S., What's new in Long Valley?, J. Geohys. Res., 93, . 13187-13190, 1988. [Download File]

Barrientos, S.E., Stein, R.S., and Ward, S.N., Comparison of the 1959 Hebgen Lake, Montana, and the 1983 Borah Peak, Idaho, earthquakes from geodetic observations, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 77, . 784-808, 1987. (Includes erratum) [Download File]

Bucknam, R.C., and Stein, R.S., Preface to the collection of papers on the 1983 Borah Peak, Idaho, earthquake, Bull. Seis. Soc. Amer., 77, . 691-693, 1987. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Contemporary late motion and crustal deformation, Reviews of Geophysics, 25, . 855-863, 1987. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Whalen, C.T., Holdahl, S.R., Strange, W.E., and Thatcher, W., Reply to Reiliger, J. Geohys. Res., 92, . 10,715-10,717, 1987. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Whalen, C.T., Holdahl, S.R., Strange, W.E., and Thatcher, W., Saugus-Palmdale, California, Field Test for Refraction Error in Historical Leveling Surveys, Journal of Geophysical Research, 91, . 9031 - 9044, 1986. [Download File]

Stein, R.S. and Bucknam, R.C., Quake replay in the Great Basin, Natural History, 95, . 28-35, 1986. [Download File]

Barrientos, S.E., Ward, S.N., Gonzales-Ruiz, J.R., and Stein, R.S., Inversion for moment as a function of depth from geodetic observations and long period body waves of the 1983 Borah Peak, ID, earthquakes, USGS Open File Report, 85-290, . 485-518, 1985. [Link]

Atwater, B.F., Tinsley, J., Stein, R.S., Trumm, D.A., and Wert, S.L., Late Holocene floodplains as structural datums across the Coalinga Nose-Guijarral Hills anticline Fresno County, California, USGS Open File Report, 85-44, . 437-438, 1985. [Link]

Stein, R.S., Evidence for surface folding and subsurface fault slip from geodetic elevation changes associated with the 1983 Coalinga, California, earthquake,USGS Open File Report, 85-44, . 225-253, 1985. [Link]

Stein, R.S. and Bucknam, R.C., Proceedings of Workshop XXVIII on the Borah Peak, Idaho, earthquake, USGS Open File Report, 85-290A and 85-290B, . 1985. [Link]

Stein, R.S. and Barrientos, S.E., Planar High-Angle faulting in the Basin and Range: Geodetic analysis of the 1983 Borah peak, Idaho, Earthquake, Journal of Geophysical Research, 90, . 11355-11366, 1985. [Download File]

Stein, R.S. and Bucknam, R.C., Basin and Range viewed from Borah Peak, EOS, American Geophysical Union Transaction, 66, . 600-603, 1985. [Download File]

Stein, R.S. and Barrientos, S.E., The 1983 Borah Peak, Idaho, earthquake: Geodetic evidence for deep rupture on a planar fault, USGS Open File Report, 85-290, . 459-484, 1985. [Download File]

Stein, R.S. and King, G.C.P., Seismic potential revealed by surface folding: The 1983 Coalinga, California, earthquake, Science, 224, . 869-872, 1984. [Download File]

McTigue, D.F. and Stein, R.S., Topographic amplification of tectonic displacement: implication for geodetic measurement of strain changes, J. Geohys. Res., 89, . 1123-1131, 1984. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Comment on "The impact of refraction correction on leveling interpretation in Southern California", by William E. Strange, J. Geohys. Res., 89, . 559-561, 1984. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Coalinga's caveat, EOS, American Geophysical Union Transaction, 65, . 791-795, 1984. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Lindh, A.G., Thatcher, W., and Rymer, M.J., Precise releveling of the Coalinga epicentral region and adjacent portions of the San Andreas Fault, in R. D. Borcherdt (Eds.), The Coalinga earthquake sequence commencing May 2, 1983, . 77-78, 1983.

Stein, R.S., Lindh, A.G., Thatcher, W.R., Rymer, M.J., and Borcherdt, R.D. , Precise releveling of the Coalinga epicentral region and adjacent portions of the San Andreas Fault: The Coalinga, California earthquake sequence commencing May 2, 1983 (reliminary report on field investigations and data collected as of May 12, 1983), USGS Open File Report, 83-511, . 77-78, 1983. [Link]

Stein, R.S. and Lisowski, M., The 1979 Homestead Valley earthquake sequence, California: Control of aftershock and postseismic deformation, J. Geohys. Res., 88, . 6477-6490, 1983. [Download File]

Jachens, R.C., Thatcher, W., Roberts, C.W., and Stein, R.S., Correlation of changes in gravity, elevation, and strain in southern California, Science, 219, . 1215-1217, 1983. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Reverse slip on a burried fault during the 2 May 1983 Coalinga earthquake: evidence from geodetic elevation changes, Calif. Div. Mines & Geol., 66, . 151-164, 1983. [Download File]

King, G. and Stein, R.S., Surface folding, river terrace deformation rate and earthquake repeat time in a reverse faulting environment. The Coalinga California earthquake of May 1983, Calif. Div. Mines & Geol., 66, . 165-176, 1983. [Download File]

Stein, R.S. and Thatcher, W., Seismic and aseismic deformation associated with the 1952 Kern County, California, earthquake and relationship to the Quaternary history f the White Wolf fault, J. Geohys. Res., 86, . 4913-4928, 1981. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Aerodynamics of the Pterosaur wing, Science (letter), 191, . 898, 1976. [Download File]

Stein, R.S., Dynamic analysis of Pteranodon ingens: A reptilian adaptation to flight, Journal of Palaeontology, 9, . 534-548, 1975. [Download File]




Toda, S, Stein, R.S., Kirby, S. H., and Bozkurt, S. B.
A slab fragment wedged under Tokyo and its tectonic and seismic implications, Nature Geoscience, doi:10.1038/ngeo318, November 2008
[Online Article, Animation, and Summaries in English and Japanese]
Stein, R.S.
Earthquake Rate Model 2.2 of the 2007 Working Group for California Earthquake Probabilities, Appendix D: Magnitude-Area relationship, U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2007-1162, 2007.
[Online summary and article]
Bozkurt, S.B., Stein, R.S., Toda, S.
Forecasting probabilistic seismic shaking for greater Tokyo from 400 years of intensity observations,
Earthquake Spectra, Volume 23, No. 3, pages 525-546, Doi: 10.1193/1.2753504, 2007.
(1) U.S. Geological Survey 345 Middlefield Rd., MS 977 Menlo Park, CA 94025 U.S.A. 
(2) Now at Geomatrix Consultants, Inc, 2101 Webster Street, CA 94612-3066
(3) Active Fault Research Center, AIST, Tsukuba, Japan
[Japanese Summary] [English Summary] [Printable article (2.8 Mb)] [Supplementary data (3.0 Mb)]
Nishimura, T., Sagiya, T., and Stein, R.S.
Crustal block kinematics and seismic potential of the northernmost Philippine Sea plate and Izu microplate, central Japan, Inferred from GPS and Leveling data, J. Geophys. Res. , 112, doi:10.1029/2005JB004102, 2007
(1) Geographical Survey Institute Geography and Crustal Dynamics Research Center Tsukuba, Japan 
(2) Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan
(3) U.S. Geological Survey 345 Middlefield Rd., MS 977 Menlo Park, CA 94025 U.S.A.
[Japanese summary] [English Summary][Printable article (4.8 Mb)]
Grunewald, D.E. and Stein, R.S.
A new 1649–1884 catalog of destructive earthquakes near Tokyo and implications for the long-term seismic process , J. Geophys. Res., 111, doi:10.1029/2005JB004059., 2006
(1) U.S. Geological Survey 345 Middlefield Rd., MS 977 Menlo Park, CA 94025 U.S.A.
[Japanese summary] [English Summary][Printable article (2.8 Mb)]
Stein, R.S., Toda, S. , Parsons, T., and Grunewald, D.E.
A new probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for greater Tokyo, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A, v. 364, pp. 1965-1988, doi:10.1098/rsta.2006.1808, 2006.
(1) U.S. Geological Survey 345 Middlefield Rd., MS 977 Menlo Park, CA 94025 U.S.A. 
(2) Active Fault Research Center, AIST, Tsukuba, Japan
(3) Department of Geophysics, Stanford University, USA
[Online article] [English Summary] [Japanese summary] [Printable article (5.1 Mb)]
 


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My USGS Science Strategy Areas

A National Hazard, Risk, and Resilience Assessment Program

Earthquake deformation, interaction, and stress triggering

My research focuses on how earthquakes interact through the transfer of stress. Examples include aftershocks, the progression of mainshocks along a fault, earthquake clustering, and seismic quiescence. My collaborators and I are interested in how one earthquake promotes shocks at some sites and inhibits them in others. This work is driven by an attempt to understand the physics of earthquakes, and to develop better ways to make seismic hazard assessments and forecasts. 

 

 


New Talks, Results, Software, Teaching tools, Short Courses

TEDx talk, 'Defeating Earthquakes' (20 min)

Recent articles about Stein's work in Nature Science

Recent static and dynamic earthquake triggering papers and animations

2011 M=9.0 Tohoku stress transfer Paper 1  Paper 2  Paper 3  News article in Science

QuakeCaster demo device video  SRL paper  Build and Teach Guide

Model Quake Towers videos and build instructions

Coulomb 3.3 software

Tokyo's seismic hazard

Earthquake animations

School teaching tools

University teaching tools

Latest USGS Quake Info

Earthquake Hazards Team Directory

 



Contact Information

Ross Stein
345 Middlefield Road
Menlo Park, CA 94025-3561
650-329-4840
650-329-5163 - Fax
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